The National Hurricane Center, based in Miami, Florida, has updated its tropical outlook storm warning.
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Storm Warning Update
There have been recent concerns that the developing new system could materialize into a hurricane. However, it may be more likely to organize into a threatening storm instead.
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In its 2 p.m. Wednesday update, the National Hurricane Center said a non-tropical area of low pressure might form within the next couple of days along a front offshore of the southeastern U.S. This would impact the Atlantic coast, including northeast Florida.
“The system appears unlikely to become a subtropical or tropical cyclone since it is forecast to remain frontal while moving generally northward and inland over the Carolinas this weekend,” said NHC hurricane specialist Brad Reinhart. “Heavy rainfall is expected in portions of the Carolinas, and hazardous marine conditions are expected over the coastal and offshore waters where gale watches and warnings are in effect.”
Even though the Atlantic hurricane season hasn’t officially begun, there is still the risk of strong winds and dangerous surf and rip conditions along the Florida coast.
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According to several meteorological outlets, such as Colorado State University, the hurricane outlook for the Atlantic is slightly below average for this year.
Hurricane Season Forecasts
The annual forecast released in April expects 2023 to see 13 named systems, with six possibly becoming hurricanes. Of those six, two are expected to become Category 3, 4, or 5 hurricanes with severe weather and at least 111 mph sustained winds. If this forecast holds, it will fall below what the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration considers average.
The NOAA defines average as 14 named systems, of which seven are hurricanes, and three are major ones. That average is more in line with last year’s season, which saw Hurricane Ian and Nicole striking Florida.
However the storm watch develops over the upcoming Memorial Day weekend, it’s always important to follow guidelines and suggestions given by law enforcement during such storms. And you can never be too prepared.