Disney Expected to Lose Another $250 Million

Disney Movie Logo with TInker Bell
Credit: Disney

Tonight, Walt Disney releases its newest feature film in theaters…

Harrison Ford in Dial of Destiny

Credit: Disney

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny (2023)

There has been a lot of coverage in the entertainment news about this upcoming Indiana Jones movie. But it seems to have less to do with interest in the film or franchise and more about whether or not it will continue Disney’s trend of box office bombs. On the heels of Walt Disney Studios releasing a series of films over the past year that either lost money or barely broke even, Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny (2023) doesn’t seem to be expected to do much better.

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It suffers from a significant issue that plagues many new films in Hollywood – especially Disney movies: an over-bloated budget.

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny (2023) cost about $300 million to produce – making it one of the most expensive films ever made. And keep in mind that figure does not include its marketing budget, potentially adding another $250 million. When all is said and done, after movie theaters take their cut from ticket prices – it’s estimated that Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny (2023) needs to make at least $750 million to break even.

Indiana Jones 5 movie poster

Credit: Disney

Another Disney Flop?

The movie is expected to earn between $60 and $65 million domestically this upcoming holiday weekend and another $80 million overseas for a worldwide release of $140 million. But as common with many movies, interest, and sales quickly fall after the first week. Sometimes there are exceptions in the case of Top Gun: Maverick (2022). But the new Indiana Jones film is not expected to have the same hype, positive reviews, or positive word of mouth. So it seems very likely the movie may only pull in $500 million of the $750 million it needs to break even.

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There’s also an issue with the movie’s core demographic. Classic fans of Indiana Jones are not the primary audience that Hollywood typically goes for. Younger demographics may flock to the theaters to see Star Wars or Marvel movies but have a different level of interest in the Indiana Jones franchise. It also doesn’t help that Harrison Ford hasn’t been a Hollywood leading man in decades.


Credit: LucasFilm

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Since this upcoming weekend is a holiday – and in some parts of the country, a four-day weekend, it’s possible that anything can happen. But it seems much more likely that Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny (2023) will meet the same fate as Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania (2023), Lightyear (2022), and Strange World (2022).


Credit: Disney

However, for any interested in the movie that comes out this weekend, it follows the fedora-wearing archeologist and his goddaughter searching for a unique artifact that can alter time. In addition to Harrison Ford reprising his role as Indiana Jones, the movie stars Phoebe Waller-Bridge as Helena Shaw, Mads Mikkelsen as Jürgen Voller, Antonio Banderas as Renaldo, and John Rhys Davies as Sallah.

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About Steven Wilk

Steven has a complicated relationship with Disney. As a child, he visited Walt Disney World every few years with his family. But he never understood why kids his age (and older) were so scared of Snow White or Alien Encounter. He is a former participant of the Disney College Program (left early…long story), and he also previously worked in Children’s publishing, where he adapted multiple Disney movies and TV shows. He has many controversial opinions about Disney…like having a positive view of Michael Eisner, believing Return of the Jedi is superior to The Empire Strikes Back, and that Toy Story Land and Galaxy’s Edge should have never been built (at least not at Hollywood Studios). Every year for the past two decades, Steven has visited either Walt Disney World, Disneyland, Aulani or went on a Disney Cruise. He’s happy to share any and all knowledge of the Disney destinations (and he likes using parenthesis a lot…as well as ellipses…)